# Cut global emissions by 7.6 percent every year for next decade to meet 1.5°C Paris target – UN report

- Link: https://greenlivingguy.com/2019/12/cut-global-emissions-by-7-6-percent-every-year-for-next-decade-to-meet-1-5c-paris-target-un-report/
- Published: 2019-12-08T18:08:16-05:00
- Author: greenlivingguy

Can we just say we must cut global emissions already?! With global temperatures 
and deforestation we don’t know what to do. According to [Yale360](https://e360.yale.edu/features/will-deforestation-and-warming-push-the-amazon-to-a-tipping-point),
for more than 40 years, Carlos A. Nobre has studied his nation’s most magnificent
natural asset. The asset I love the most; Amazon rainforest. Because of its vital
role in the global [climate system](https://greenlivingguy.com/2020/04/climate-change-the-time-for-action-is-now/).
And for the better part of a year, Nobre has watched with alarm as his country’s
nationalist president, Jair Bolsonaro, has issued full-throated calls for the further
development of the Amazon, leading in recent weeks to a huge outbreak of fires from
the illegal clearing and burning of the forest. 

#### In an interview with _Yale Environment 360_

Nobre, a senior researcher at the University of Saõ Paulo’s Institute for Advanced
Studies. For he talks about an alarming tipping point now bearing down at which 
a combination of deforestation and climate change would transform much of the Amazon
into a savanna ecosystem. All with dire effects on the world’s climate system.

But Nobre also discusses solutions he says could quickly halt new deforestation 
in the Amazon. That’s including putting pressure on the global agribusiness firms
driving the destruction; launching low-cost regeneration projects on vast tracts
of degraded rainforest; and improving soybean yields on croplands already carved
out of the forest.

![We must cut global emissions](https://i0.wp.com/greenlivingguy.com/wp-content/
uploads/2019/12/pexels-photo-221012.jpg?resize=150%2C150&quality=52&ssl=1 "pexels-
photo-221012 - The Green Living Guy")

#### So the UN responded with another pledge.

 1. On current unconditional pledges, the world is heading for a 3.2°C temperature 
    rise.
 2. Technologies and policy knowledge exist to cut emissions, but transformations must
    begin now.
 3. [G20](https://greenlivingguy.com/2016/06/g20-energy-ministers-recognise-progress-on-renewables-set-stage-for-more-action/)
    nations account for 78 per cent of all global emissions. However only 15 G20 members
    have not committed to a timeline for cutting global emissions.

Geneva, 26 November 2019 – On the eve of a year in which nations are due to strengthen
their Paris climate pledges, a new UN Environment Programme (UNEP) report warns 
that unless we cut global greenhouse gas emissions by 7.6 per cent each year between
2020 and 2030, no good. I mean the world will miss the opportunity to get on track
towards the 1.5°C temperature goal of the Paris Agreement.

So UNEP’s annual [Emissions Gap Report](https://www.unenvironment.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2019)
says that even if all current unconditional commitments under the Paris Agreement
are implemented, temperatures are expected to rise by 3.2°C. Thereby bringing even
wider-ranging and more destructive climate impacts. Collective ambition must cut
global emissions and increase more than fivefold. That’s over current levels to 
deliver the cuts needed over the next decade for the 1.5°C goal.

2020 is a critical year for climate action, with the UN climate change conference
in Glasgow aiming to determine the future course of efforts to avert crisis, and
countries expected to significantly step up their climate commitments.

#### The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has warned that going beyond 1.5°C will increase the frequency and intensity of climate impacts.

G20 nations collectively account for 78 per cent of all emissions. However and only
five G20 members have committed to a long-term zero emissions target.

In the short-term, developed countries will have to reduce their emissions quicker
than developing countries, for reasons of fairness and equity. However, all countries
will need to contribute more to collective effects. Developing countries can learn
from successful efforts in developed countries; they can even leapfrog them and 
adopt cleaner technologies at a faster rate.

Crucially, the report says all nations must substantially increase ambition in their
Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), as the Paris commitments are known, 
in 2020 and follow up with policies and strategies to implement them. Solutions 
are available to make meeting the Paris goals possible, but they are not being deployed
fast enough or at a sufficiently large scale.

Each year, the Emissions Gap Report assesses the gap between anticipated emissions
in 2030 and levels consistent with the 1.5°C and 2°C targets of the Paris Agreement.
The report finds that greenhouse gas emissions have risen 1.5 per cent per year 
over the last decade. Emissions in 2018, including from land-use changes such as
deforestation, hit a new high of 55.3 gigatonnes of CO2 equivalent.

To limit temperatures, annual emissions in 2030 need to be 15 gigatonnes of CO2 
equivalent. So that’s lower than current unconditional NDCs imply for the 2°C goal.
Because they need to be 32 gigatonnes lower for the 1.5°C goal. On an annual basis,
this means cuts in emissions of 7.6 per cent per year. All from 2020 to 2030 to 
meet the 1.5°C goal and 2.7 per cent per year for the 2°C goal.

#### To deliver on these cuts, the levels of ambition in the NDCs must increase. I mean at least fivefold for the 1.5°C goal and threefold for the 2°C.

Climate change can still be limited to 1.5°C, the report says. There is increased
understanding of the additional benefits of climate action. That’s such as [clean air](https://greenlivingguy.com/2014/01/congressman-blumenauer-champions-environmental-legislation/)
and a boost to the Sustainable Development Goals. There are many ambitious efforts
from governments, cities, businesses and investors. Solutions, and the pressure 
and will to implement them, are abundant.

As it does each year, the report focuses on the potential of selected sectors. Those
can hopefully deliver emissions cuts. This year it looks at the energy transition
and the potential of efficiency in the use of materials, which can go a long way
to closing the emissions gap.

#### John Christensen, Director of UNEP DTU Partnership

“When looking back. Especially at the 10 years we have prepared the Emissions Gap
Report. For it is very disturbing that in spite of the many warnings, global emissions
have continued. All to increase emissions and moreover do not seem to be likely 
to peak anytime soon.

Source: UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme)

![author avatar](https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/df91669667126e1290c21ee0342c386e2da19d588d4d9ca6560bd82ed59a9641?
s=300&d=monsterid&r=g)

 greenlivingguy

 The Green Living Guy, Seth Leitman is an independent power producer, a green living
expert, and Editor of the McGraw-Hill, TAB Green Guru Guides. Seth is also an Author,
Radio Host, Reporter, Writer and an Environmental Consultant on green living. The
Green Living Guy writes about green living, green lighting, the green guru guides
and more. Seth's books range from: # Build Your Own Electric Vehicle by Bob Brant
and Seth Leitman (2nd and 3rd editions) # Build Your Own Plug-in Hybrid Electric
Vehicle by Seth Leitman # Build Your Own Electric Motorcycle by Carl Vogel # Green
Lighting by Seth Leitman, Brian Clark Howard and Bill Brinsky # Solar Power For 
Your Home by David Findley # Renewable Energies For Your Home by Russel Gehrke #
Do-it-Yourself Home Energy Audits by David Findley # Build Your Own Small Wind Power
System by Brian Clark Howard and Kevin Shea # and more green living books to follow.

 [See Full Bio](https://greenlivingguy.com/author/greenlivingguy/) [  ](https://greenlivingguy.com/author/greenlivingguy/)
