China, will see a slump in EV sales. It’s still the world’s largest market for electric vehicles (EVs). However. China predicts a decline in sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) in 2023. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) forecasts a slump to 8 million NEVs sold in 2023, down from an expected peak of 2.4 million units in 2021. This prediction comes as the Chinese government reduces subsidies for NEVs and the global pandemic has hit the economy hard.

Impact on China’s EV Market

The decline in NEV sales could harm China’s plan to become a leader in EV production and sales. The Chinese government has set a target to sell NEVs, including EVs, plug-in hybrids, and fuel cell vehicles, accounting for 25% of all car sales by 2025. However, the slump in sales could hamper this goal.

The decline in sales can also affect the Chinese EV industry’s production capacity. The industry has been investing heavily in expanding production capacity to meet the growing demand for EVs. However, the slump in sales may result in overcapacity, causing a surplus of EVs, which could lead to price wars and lower profits for Chinese EV manufacturers.

Reasons for Slump in Sales

One of the reasons for the slump in sales is the reduction in government subsidies for NEVs. The Chinese government had been offering generous subsidies to EV manufacturers and buyers to promote the adoption of EVs. However, the subsidies have been declining gradually, and the government plans to phase them out completely by 2022. This has led to a rise in EV prices, making them less attractive to consumers.

Another reason for the slump in sales is the global pandemic, which has hit the Chinese economy hard. The pandemic has led to a decline in consumer spending and a rise in unemployment, making it difficult for many consumers to afford expensive EVs.


In conclusion, China’s prediction of a slump in NEV sales by 2023 could have a significant impact on the Chinese EV industry. The decline in sales could harm China’s plan to become a leader in EV production and sales and result in overcapacity and price wars. The reduction in government subsidies and the global pandemic are the major contributors to the slump in sales. The Chinese government and EV manufacturers need to develop new strategies to promote the adoption of EVs and reduce their prices to make them more affordable to consumers.


  1. “China Predicts Slump in Electric Vehicle Sales This Year.” Financial Times, 2 Mar. 2021,
  2. “China’s 2021 NEV Sales Expected to Hit 2.4 Million Units: MIIT.” Xinhua, 11 Jan. 2021,
  3. “China Predicts Electric Vehicle Sales Slump, Will Phase Out Subsidies.” Reuters, 2 Mar. 2021,
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